Cadence Map · one ordinary week, both channels, per person
Two caps summing to 8 a week, and a cohort receiving 13
Bramble & Rye · 62,000 on email, 14,800 with SMS consent, 13,100 on both
| Cohort | People | Emails | Texts | Messages | Attrition units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIP, bought, abandoned, browsed, due | 118 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23.11 |
| VIP, abandoned, browsed | 604 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 20.11 |
| VIP, browsed | 1,834 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12.74 |
| Same activity, email only | 214 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10.00 |
| Not engaged, email only | 32,346 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2.00 |
Counted as messages the top cohort is 1.30x the email-only cohort doing the same things. Counted in attrition units it is 2.31x.
Where 4.37 comes from
Email unsubscribes run 0.19% per send here and SMS opt-outs 0.83%, both from the same quarter. So one text costs 4.37 emails of list attrition, and that quotient is the only assumption on this page. SMS is 11.1% of the week's messages and 35.3% of the week's attrition.
Why neither cap is wrong
The email cap is 5 a week and the SMS cap is 3. Both are configured on campaigns, both programmes' flows are excluded from them, and neither platform can read the other. Nobody chose 13 for anybody; 13 is what two reasonable caps produce when they are set in two places.
The distribution, both ways
Median 2 messages and 2.00 units. p90 is 5 and 8.37. p99 is 10 and 20.11. The two orderings disagree, and the one every dashboard reports is the one that understates the load.
Transactional messages are excluded. An offer inside an order confirmation is not transactional and belongs in this table.