Migration Summary · 1 Jan to 1 Apr
The segment that looked flat
| Segment | 1 Jan | 1 Apr | Net | Arrived | Departed | Gross |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loyal | 4,120 | 4,088 | -32 | 1,268 | 1,300 | 62.3% |
| Repeat active | 7,930 | 8,300 | +370 | 3,990 | 3,620 | 96.0% |
| At risk | 6,970 | 6,310 | -660 | 4,480 | 5,140 | 138.0% |
| Lapsed | 7,940 | 5,750 | -2,190 | 3,240 | 5,430 | 109.2% |
| Dormant | 11,430 | 14,000 | +2,570 | 4,120 | 1,550 | 49.6% |
Loyal moved by 32 profiles. 1,300 people left it.
What the size number cannot say
Departures were 40.6 times the net change, and the segment kept 68.4% of its members. Every dashboard in the business called this flat, so nobody asked the retention question, which was the most valuable question in the model.
Where the 1,300 went
1,180 aged past the 90-day boundary into At risk. 120 left the list. Nobody did anything to them. Time passed.
Where the 1,268 came from
All of them crossed from Repeat active on a fourth order, which makes the fourth order the event worth building a message around.
Rows track only the profiles present on 1 January, so the quarter's new subscribers sit outside this grid.