Most annual marketing plans start from last year's budget and add a percentage on top. Gartner's 2026 CMO Spend Survey puts the industry norm at 7.8% of company revenue, which answers what other companies spend, not what this year's specific target requires. This pack works backward instead: a revenue target, divided by your own trailing win rate and average contract value, becomes an opportunity count, and pricing that count at each channel's own trailing rate becomes the budget.
On this pack's own worked plan, a fictional B2B software company, Harlow Analytics, needs $4,800,000 in marketing-sourced revenue next year, up 77% from the $2,705,000 it actually delivered. At a 22% win rate and a $32,000 average contract value, that target needs 682 opportunities, costing $1,544,000 at Harlow's own channel rates. The same model, run backward through last year's approved budget, predicted $2,642,000 against $2,705,000 actually closed, within 2.4%. That is why the forward number is worth defending rather than negotiating down.
Finance's counteroffer rarely arrives priced in opportunities, so Scenario Comparison prices it before the meeting instead of during it. An 18% increase over last year sounds generous until it is run through the model: it funds 65% of the target, not the full ask. The budget then splits by channel using the same fully loaded cost logic, ties back to last year's performance report, and assumes the funnel converts at its trailing rate. When it does not, the funnel analysis finds the stage that broke.