01
Capacity Against Deadlines
Forty role-weeks with hours demanded against hours available, in three versions: committed work only, every bid answered, and the set actually chosen. Every shortfall names its largest contributor and that bid's own deadline.
02
Bid Register
Every live bid and open solicitation with hours split by role, stage, start week, deadline, and the hours that land in role-weeks already full. Total hours is a derived column nobody decides from.
03
Bid or No-Bid Selection
All sixty-four possible answers ranked by expected value, each with the overtime it needs, its worst single role-week, and whether it fits the agreed ceiling.
04
Deadline and Milestone Tracker
Four milestones a bid, each derived from the matrix: subject matter input complete, price ready, principal review, submission. The at-risk flag is computed, and rows cleared by a no-bid stay visible with their before figure.
05
Win Rate by Bid Type
Three years of submissions by type, with raw and smoothed rates, and a caveat on every type thin enough that the smoothing is doing the work. This is where the register's win column is read from.
06
How the Matrix Gets Built
The worked example end to end with the arithmetic shown, including the ceiling sweep and a section on what the model cannot tell you.
07
Effort Profile Standard
The eight fields a register row carries, the four spreading profiles, and five ways rows get written badly. The first one makes the matrix impossible and is the most common.
08
Process Definition and Escalation Note
Who owns which decision, what escalates and when, and the one-page note for whoever authorizes the overtime: what is declined, what it was worth, and what a higher ceiling would buy.